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Paul Hair is a national security expert and an author. He writes under his own name and as a ghostwriter. Connect with him at http://www.liberateliberty.com/. Contact him at paul@liberateliberty.com.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Afghanistan: The United States Has Lost

S&CI published, “U.S. Unable to Force Taliban to Negotiate; Unable to Stop Taliban Attacks,” on July 05. The assessment concluded by noting:
Map Courtesy of The World Factbook
This shows that the United States has lost the war in Afghanistan.
The U.S. begs the Taliban to negotiate with it even as it is unable to force it to do so and even as it is unable to stop the Taliban from attacking.
Expect more concessions from the United States in the future. And expect the Taliban and other Islamic terrorists to continue attacking and killing Afghanis and U.S. troops.
Recent media reports and a source exclusive to S&CI support this earlier assessment.

The exclusive S&CI source is on a deployment as a serviceman with the U.S. armed forces. He reports low morale and no confidence in what the United States is doing in Afghanistan.

“The mission is foolish,” he told S&CI. “I’ve lost all respect for and faith in senior leadership. If you think Iraq was bad, this is even worse.”

The same source had previously reported similar problems. “We are barely allowed to defend ourselves,” he said. “We can watch enemy spotters calling in our flight operations to their comrades, and watching us on the FOB [forward operating base],” he added in reference to the restrictive rules of engagement (ROE) that govern how and when U.S. and other International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) personnel can defend themselves.

“We have to wait outside if the Afghanis don’t want us to enter their houses,” the source explained, again referring to restrictive rules placed on U.S. troops even when they are searching for weapons, information, enemies, or other threats.

“And we wait with our hands in our pockets for indirect fire and assaults on our wire,” the source said. His comments refer to attacks by enemy forces on U.S. installations.

The U.S. government attempts to provide a more positive judgment of the situation.

Yet even as it attempts to claim that an anti-Taliban movement is gaining strength in Afghanistan, it admits that insider attacks against U.S. and other ISAF personnel increased by “120 percent between 2011 and 2012.”

Furthermore, media accounts dispute the U.S. government claims of success against the Taliban in Afghanistan.

The Long War Journal bluntly reported that, “Taliban step up operations in the north, ISAF buries head in sand,” on July 31.

And The Associated Press reported on July 31 that the United Nations claims that Afghan casualties are on the rise as the U.S. and ISAF withdraw from Afghanistan.

Additionally, media accounts continue reporting that the Taliban is fully in control of any attempts by the U.S. to conduct so-called negotiations. The Washington Times reported the following on August 06:
“The aim of our contacts and talks with the invaders, which are conducted through the Political Office [in Qatar], is to put an end to occupation of Afghanistan,” Taliban leader Mullah Mohammad Omar said in a message to mark the Muslim festival of Eid al-Fitr. “No one should perceive that the mujahideen will relinquish of their lofty religious principles and national interests.”
Yet despite all this, political pundits and analysts don’t seem too concerned with the failure of the U.S. in Afghanistan. The Diplomat published, “Yes, The US Can Live With Taliban Rule,” on July 10. And few cared when Ynetnews reported on July 29 that the U.S. had released five more prisoners to the Taliban as a “gesture ahead of talks with Taliban.”

Worse still, Daniel Greenfield of FrontPage Magazine noted that even as the U.S. released terrorists back to the Taliban, it didn’t bother to secure the U.S. serviceman being held hostage by the Taliban—even as the Taliban had reportedly offered to return that serviceman to the U.S. in June.

This combined open source intelligence (OSINT) and human intelligence (HUMINT) about Afghanistan confirms the earlier S&CI assessment: the U.S. has lost the war in Afghanistan but political pundits (and the public) do not seem to care.

Expect more concessions from the United States in the future. And expect the Taliban and other Islamic terrorists to continue attacking and killing Afghanis and U.S. troops as the U.S. continues exiting Afghanistan.

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